Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) of the University of Washington estimates that Florida will exceed the ICU capacity by mid September and be forced into a Full Lockdown. Here is the chart for social distancing (mobility) for Florida:
As you can see, during the March lockdown, the typical mobility in Florida was 60% lower than normal. Due to reopening, the typical mobility is currently 30% lower than normal, and it is expected by mid-September to reach only 10% lower than typical mobility. At that point, the mobility will be forcefully reduced back to the 60% lower than normal – the second Full Lockdown.
Current projections go to Nov 1. Does this mean that Florida will likely be under the Full Lockdown on the election day on Nov 3rd?