Events/Policies with expected effects:
- AI adoption is expected to lead to job losses – this could cause a recession if unemployment increases.
- Immigration policy could also cause job losses, lower labor supply
- Tariffs could also cause job losses
- Trade war escalation could also be negative for jobs, if foreign companies don’t invest in the US.
- War in Iran could cause higher inflation if it causes higher oil prices.
- Tramp’s fiscal stimulus (current happening) is positive for economy.
Part 1
This is the link for Economic Calendar. Check the economic data daily (anytime between 10am and 11pm) and evaluate what it means.
Part 2
Here is the link for Federal Funds futures.
Part 3
Here is the link for the S&P500.Here is the link for the VIX.
Part 4
Link for the S&P500 sectors and companies